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Australia: The Land Where Time Began |
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Southern Hemisphere Hadley Cell, Expansion in Response to
Forcing by Greenhouse Gas
In this paper Nguyen et al.
investigated changes to the Southern Hemisphere Hadley Cell over the 20th
century by using the Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR) and coupled
model simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison
Project (SMIP5). Trends computed on a 30-yr sliding window on the 20CR
dataset revealed that there was a statistically significant expansion of
the Hadley cell from 1968, which was forced by an increasing surface
global warming. There is a strong association between this expansion and
the intensification and shift of the subtropical dry zone towards the
pole, and these 2 factors potentially explain the trends of droughts in
the subtropical regions such as southern Australia, South America and
Africa. The observed amount of Hadley expansion is not adequately
simulated by the coupled models from the CMIP5, which show only about ¼
of the expansion as determined by the 20CR, and it is only when
greenhouse gas forcings are included in simulations, as opposed to
simulations that include natural forcings only.
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Author: M.H.Monroe Email: admin@austhrutime.com Sources & Further reading |